## About ### About If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $57500.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked. Outcome verified by [CF Benchmarks](https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/) Below $57,500.0034% Below $55,000.0023% Below $52,500.0012% Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5Jun 6Jun 7Jun 8Jun 8Jun 9Jun 9Jun 90%10%20%30%40%50%60%34%23%12% 1H 1D 1W All ## Key stats - **Expiry:** Jun 30, 2026(22 days) - **Interest:** $359,957.46 - **Vol (24H):** $34,940.25↘ 21.39% - **Total:** $1M ## Details Below $57,500.00 34%↘ 9 1D No · 64¢ Yes · 37¢ Below $55,000.00 23% No · 78¢ Yes · 23¢ Below $52,500.00 12%↘ 5 1D No · 89¢ Yes · 12¢ ### Timeline & rules ### Timeline & payout 1. Market open Jun 1, 2026, 8:03 AM EDT 2. Market closes After the outcome occurs 3. Outcome determined Usually within 24 hours of close 4. Projected payout 30 minutes after closing This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EDT. ### Trading prohibitions The following are prohibited from trading this contract: - Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract. - Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract. --- ### FAQs #### What is a prediction market and how does it work? A prediction market lets you trade contracts on future events. Each pays $1 if the event happens, $0 if not. The price reflects the market’s odds. For example, $0.65 means a 65% chance. Buy “Yes” if you think it will happen, “No” if not. If you’re right, you earn $1 minus what you paid (minus fees). #### What does it mean to say “yes” or “no”? When you buy “Yes”, you're betting the event will happen. If it does, you earn $1 per contract. When you buy “No”, you're betting the event will not happen. If it doesn't, you earn $1 per contract. #### What prediction markets can I trade? You can trade regulated “Yes/No” contracts on outcomes in crypto, economics, politics, sports, entertainment, technology, science, and more. New markets are added regularly, all with clear rules and settlement policies based on the result. #### What do I need to qualify? You need a Coinbase account and must complete onboarding to Coinbase Financial Markets (CFM), our regulated derivatives entity. This includes identity verification and basic income/net worth details. Once approved, you can fund your account and start trading. #### How do I fund my account? You can use the cash (USD and USDC) in your main Coinbase account to trade. Cash held for positions will be moved to your derivatives account. When you close positions, freed up funds will be transferred back to your main Coinbase account. #### How is an event determined? Each market has rules that explain how its outcome is decided. When the event happens, an independent, regulated exchange determines the result using a stated “source of truth,” such as official data, market prices, or trusted news. Settlement is based only on that source, which is listed in the contract before you trade. #### What does settlement mean? Settlement is when a market ends and contracts are converted to their final value. You receive $1 if the event happened and $0 if it did not. Payouts are then made to traders. #### How does payout work? When the event result is confirmed, each correct contract you hold settles at $1, and each incorrect contract settles at $0. Your total payout is $1 × number of winning contracts, and your profit is that payout minus what you originally paid (minus any fees). --- ### Legal Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives. Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset.